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Prediction market Trepa and Fireplace shut down as Kalshi and Polymarket capture 93% of sector volume

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Prediction markets Trepa and Fireplace announced shutdowns hours apart, setting a Sept. 30 withdrawal deadline for users. Kalshi and Polymarket control 93% of prediction market volume. One shuttered platform published analysis arguing the crypto industry’s reported active user base significantly overstates actual engagement.

Sources: The Defiant

This article is for information only and is not financial advice.

What the market did

Price reactionnot recorded
Independent outletsnot recorded
Reports per hournot recorded
Noveltynot recorded

Each figure is this site’s own reading, with what it was measured against. A blank is a reading nobody took, not a zero. The before-the-headline window prints the rate a RANDOM hour clears the same bar, because a hit rate without its null is not a finding.

Tags: PredictionMarkets, Polymarket, Kalshi

Polymarket Kalshi

Canonical IDBYTE-2026-08-11-0005permanent link
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