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MARKETS · FLASH · BTCBTC+1.4%Bitcoin steady as rate bets shift

Bitcoin holds $78,000 as traders price September rate hike at 55.5% on Polymarket

flash · 2 sources
2 independentfirst seen published latency 5 min
Updated — view changes (2)

Every change made to this story after publication is recorded here automatically. A factual error gets a correction as well, on the corrections page.

Traders on Polymarket shifted bets toward a Federal Reserve rate increase in September to Polymarket prices a quarter-point hike at 55.5% after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, against 28% on Friday afternoon.The Defiant · · read it at the source following Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, up from Polymarket prices a quarter-point hike at 55.5% after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, against 28% on Friday afternoon.The Defiant · · read it at the source on Friday afternoon. Bitcoin held steady above Live updates: Bitcoin holds $78,000 as yen breaks 160 and rate-hike bets lift the dollar.CoinDesk · · read it at the sourcewhile 88 of the 125 largest non-stablecoin tokens declined amid the hawkish repricing.

Sources: CoinDesk, The Defiant

This article is for information only and is not financial advice.

What the market did

Price reaction+0.77%BTC
Independent outlets2
Reports per hour0.05
Noveltyfollow-up2 outlet(s), 1212 min spread
Before the headlinenothing above $100,000,000 in the 60 minutes beforea random hour: 13.1%

Each figure is this site’s own reading, with what it was measured against. A blank is a reading nobody took, not a zero. The before-the-headline window prints the rate a RANDOM hour clears the same bar, because a hit rate without its null is not a finding.

Story so far 2 updates

  1. flashBitcoin holds $78,000 as Polymarket traders price September rate hike at 55.5%first reported · 2 sourcescoindesk.com · thedefiant.io
  2. flashBitcoin holds $78,000 as traders price September rate hike at 55.5% on Polymarketupdate · 2 sourcescoindesk.com · thedefiant.io
Tags: Bitcoin, FederalReserve, Polymarket, MacroPolicy

Bitcoin Polymarket

Canonical IDBYTE-2026-09-01-0307permanent link
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